Saturday, October 29, 2005

Ed Roberts, Author, Entrepreneur, Professor - MIT Sloan

Ed Roberts hosted a SIP session called "Founding and Growing the Technology-Based Enterprise". This was right up my alley. Ed has been researching technology-based startups for 40 years and has a lot of insights on creating successful startups.

Ed Roberts bio

Notes:
  • Started at MIT in 1957 in the EE dept
  • Joined Sloan in 1958 as an assistant to Jay Forrester (created System Dynamics)
  • Got a Masters and then a PhD in Economics in 1962
  • In '62, his doctoral dissertation was the only work on technology in the Sloan School
  • 25 years of studying technology-based firms (up to 1985): 769 total companies
  • Created a 11-page questionnaire they used to collect data
  • Started as research on people who left MIT labs to start new companies
  • Iceberg phenomena: companies aren't aware of how many people leave to start companies
  • At one company, the VP of R&D thought there were only 5 spinoffs from his company, but after research they found 45 and the best did 50% of the original company's revenues
  • Found that entrepreneurs are more productive than the average worker in terms of published papers, patents, etc.
  • Published a book in 1991: Entrepreneurs in High Technology (now out of print but available on Amazon)
  • Who becomes technology-based entrepreneurs? ("becomes" not necessarily who are successful)
    - Disproportionate share came from families where the father was self-employed
    - Women were extraordinarily exceptional - very few
    - Entrepreneurs have a moderate need for achievement, moderate need for power, but a high need for independence
    - Development-oriented work background (not research)
  • 50% of companies in his study were founded on a part-time basis despite this probably violating employee and IP agreements
  • Quick movement of advanced technology from source. If you delay for 3 yrs or more, the amount of tech transfer decays to 0
  • Part-time founders transfer more tech than full-time founders
  • What makes technology-based firms succeed?
    As measured 5-7 years post founding:
    High performers 15% - high profit growth and profitability, low variability
    Succeeding 15% - positive profit growth and profitability
    Merely Surviving 54% - growth and profitability is 0
    Failures 16% - closed shop
  • Average entrepreneur has less than a high school diploma, but their data showed avg tech entrepreneur has a college diploma
  • SBA says 80-90% of companies fail within 18 months, but their data showed only 16% failed after 5-7 years
  • Didn't find a distinction based on where entrepreneur went to college
  • 83% of entrepreneurs were highly satisfied with their performance 5-7 years post-founding and 17% were not satisfied. The entrepreneurs that were not satisfied did not correlate to those that failed
  • Found no correlation measures between personal satisfaction and economic success of the company
  • Successful founders' characteristics:
    - Made, not born (found no birth characteristics that predict success)
    - High need for achievement and optimally with moderate need for power
    - If you have a high need for power you limit other people from stepping up
    - Data is clear, individuals don't succeed. The larger the founding team, the higher the chance of success
    - Solo entrepreneurs seldom succeed, 2 are more likely to succeed, 3 are even more likely, 4 are even more likely, and 5 are even more likely (don't have enough data after 5)
    - Solo entrepreneurs are more likely to have a high need for power
  • Characteristics of successful startups
    - High degree of advanced tech transfer
    - Product orientation, not consulting or research. Very few firms transition from one to another successful
    - Marketing orientation and practices
    - Focused growth strategy - focused on 1 idea
  • Performed a new study in 2003 of MIT entrepreneurs based on alumni questionnaire
  • The average MIT alumni entrepreneurs founded 1.8 companies. The range goes from 1 to 17!
  • Have a hypothesis that the more startups you found, the more successful they become
  • Age distribution at first founding: gradual shifting to younger and older entrepreneurs (the middle is being vacated)
  • Median age of founding first company is constantly decreasing: 1950s: 40.5, 1960s: 39, 1970s: 35, 1980s: 32, 1990s: 28
  • Will continue to analyze the data over the next couple of years. Some papers are forthcoming.

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